Alternative North Korean Nuclear Futures

By Dr. Shane Smith

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This chapter, published in Alternative East Asian Nuclear Futures, Volume I: Military Scenarios, takes stock of what we know about North Korea’s nuclear motivations, capabilities, and ambitions to explore where it’s been and where it might be headed over the next 20 years. Drawing on available evidence, it maps one path it may take and explores what that path might mean for the shape, size, and character of North Korea’s future arsenal.