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Rethinking Deterrence and Assurance
Rethinking Deterrence and Assurance
News
| June 13, 2015
Rethinking Deterrence and Assurance
By Paul I. Bernstein
Wilton Park
The meeting assessed:
How NATO partners view threats after Ukraine, and the extent to which the Alliance is suited to meet them;
The likely trajectory of Russian force posture and conventional/nuclear strategy, and the balance between long running trends and post-Ukraine ones;
The implications of hybrid and ambiguous warfare for how deterrence is practised, and how cyber, space and other operational domains can be included in the concept of strategic deterrence;
How economic tools (including sanctions and other financial levers), diplomatic tools, and other approaches can complement a broader strategy of deterrence and influence the behaviours of other actors;
Whether there exists a new norm that would be acceptable to NATO and Russia in light of recent events in Ukraine, presuming that things will not go back to the prior status quo.
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