March 10, 2021
Three’s Company? Prioritizing Trilateral Deterrence Against North Korea
Dr. Shane Smith and Brad Glosserman, Tama University, recently wrote a piece for War on the Rocks arguing that the United States should prioritize and operationalize a trilateral U.S.-Japan-South Korea approach to deterring North Korea. Their article offers concrete steps toward building a trilateral deterrence partnership.
Feb. 25, 2021
Deterring, Countering, and Defeating Conventional-Nuclear Integration
Dr. Justin Anderson and Lt Col James R. McCue, USAF, propose a three-part framework using the Department of Defense’s Deterrence Operations – Joint Operating Concept (deny benefits, impose costs, and encourage restraint) to bolster
US and allied deterrence postures in Europe and the Asia-Pacific.
Feb. 12, 2021
Biodefense and the return to great-power competition
Dr. Gerald Epstein's latest article in The Nonproliferation Review explores the increased likelihood of the development and potential use of biological weapons by Russia and China. This paper is part of a special issue on chemical and biological warfare that is being published in memory of Raymond A. Zilinskas.
Jan. 27, 2021
China’s Hypersonic Weapons
Bernstein and Hancock identify potential strategic and operational issues that will need to be addressed as China's hypersonic capabilities mature.
Dec. 9, 2020
The biosecurity benefits of genetic engineering attribution
In a recent volume of Nature Communications, Dr. Gerald Epstein and colleagues examine the biosecurity benefits of genetic engineering attribution. This paper is a policy companion piece to a technical paper, published in the same issue, announcing new results in using machine learning to recognize the source of a genetically engineered DNA.
Dec. 1, 2020
The rise of the futurists: The perils of predicting with futurethink
In this paper, Dr. Alexander H. Montgomery and Dr. Amy J. Nelson explore probabilistic and possibilistic approaches to uncertainty related to AI, outline their potential advantages and disadvantages, and identify common biases that hinder good prediction.
Nov. 19, 2020
Book Review: Shadows on the Wall: Deterrence and Disarmament
In the latest edition of Joint Force Quarterly, Dr. John Mark Mattox reviews "Shadows on the Wall: Deterrence and Disarmament" by Keith B. Payne.
Social Media Weaponization: The Biohazard of Russian Disinformation Campaigns
In the latest edition of Joint Force Quarterly, Ms. Sarah Jacobs Gamberini describes the methods and goals of Russia’s influence operations, assesses the implications for targeting matters of public health, and provides whole-of-society recommendations for countering its influence.
Strategic Assessment 2020: Into a New Era of Great Power Competition Oct. 26, 2020
Weapons of Mass Destruction, Strategic Deterrence, and Great Power Competition
Mr. Paul Bernstein and others examine the role of nuclear, biological, and chemical weapons in great power competition in the 2020 Institute for National Strategic Studies (INSS) Strategic Assessment.
Contemporary Great Power Technological Competitive Factors in the Fourth Industrial Revolution
In the latest Institute for National Strategic Studies (INSS) Strategic Assessment, Dr. T.X. Hammes and Dr. Diane DiEuliis explore how the convergence of new technologies is creating a fourth industrial revolution that will transform almost every aspect of 21st-century life.